Safer option: Goldschmidt or McCutchen?

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donniebaseball23
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Joined: Wed Feb 19, 2014 4:10 am

Safer option: Goldschmidt or McCutchen?

Postby donniebaseball23 » Wed Mar 12, 2014 7:23 am

Hey everyone,

Who do you feel is the safer option this season to produce last season's numbers: Goldschmidt or McCutchen, and your reasons why (which is equally important)?

Please focus on the numbers only as draft strategy, position, roster structure, upside etc aren't relevant for my question. I can also check Grey's and others' rankings so please don't point me there.

All things being equal, who you think has less risk this season and why? Looking for a discussion. Thanks in advance.

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JeF With 1 F
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Re: Safer option: Goldschmidt or McCutchen?

Postby JeF With 1 F » Wed Mar 12, 2014 9:03 am

Your fine either way but i go goldschmidt for the position
10 Team, H2H, Dynasty, 7x7, OBP. Holds

C- Evan Gattis
1B- Paul Goldschmidt
2B- Dee Gordon
3B- Miggy/Arenado
SS- Alcides Escobar
MI- B-Rad Miller
CI- Frazier/Arenado
LF- Micheal Brantley
CF- Carlos Gomez
RF- Andrew McCutchen
OF- Justin Upton
Util- Khris Davis
Util- Cory Dickerson
BN - Mookie Betts

SP- Doug Fister
SP- Scott Kazmir
RP- Glen Perkins
RP- Delin Betances
RP- Joakim Soria
RP- Wade Davis
P- Dillon Gee
P- Lance Lynn
P- Doug Fister
P- C,J. Wilson
P- Homer Bailey
P- Alex Wood
P- Zack Wheeler
NA- Tyler Glasnow

memmelaar
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Re: Safer option: Goldschmidt or McCutchen?

Postby memmelaar » Wed Mar 12, 2014 6:41 pm

Both are studs....but I think McCutchen is "safer". He has a longer track record at the major league level.
that being said...if I had to pick I would take goldshmidt......

buckfever1974
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Re: Safer option: Goldschmidt or McCutchen?

Postby buckfever1974 » Wed Mar 12, 2014 10:01 pm

Goldschmidt had a slightly elivated BABIP last year which may regress some but I think like Grey pointed out in his analysis that he will be a top 10 for years to come. He walked alot last year so he has a good eye at the plate. Know ur league to. I am in a H2H points league that drafts a lot of pitchers in the first two rounds which means I have a great chance at another huge bat in round #2 and could grab a top OF then like Adam Jones or Harper. I think u could go safe with McCutchen but I don't think Goldy is going to go in tank as his downside. He could hit 40 HRs if things go right for him. I think u know what it getting with McCutchen. He may not see 30 again.

donniebaseball23
Posts: 10
Joined: Wed Feb 19, 2014 4:10 am

Re: Safer option: Goldschmidt or McCutchen?

Postby donniebaseball23 » Thu Mar 13, 2014 7:41 am

Yeah the reason I wanted to remove draft strategy etc from this discussion is one could easily say McCutchen is safer (due to track record etc) but decide to draft Goldschmidt depending on x,y and z. That's totally fair and likely for many people. However, if I took out all factors and find out reasons only for who is safer for this year (and why) based on your knowledge, looking at the numbers only, then I could make a decision based on my own knowledge and strategy afterwards.

For example, if most felt McCutchen is safer AND I preferred him to Goldschmidt, then it would likely be an easier choice. If most felt McCutchen is safer AND I preferred Goldschmidt, then I would decide on what strategy to take based on my own situation (not relevant here). I know what I'm looking for when I draft, but just curious on your perspective on whether one could drop a bit this year based on last year's numbers . Of course, they are both elite so you can't really go wrong with either of them, but it's still a useful exercise for me.

Thanks everyone.


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