Starlin vs Asdrubal

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SilverPickles
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Starlin vs Asdrubal

Postby SilverPickles » Fri Mar 09, 2012 10:20 am

I'm in a 5x5 H2H league that starts C, 1b, 2b, SS, 3b, OF, OF, OF, Util. Keeping Pujols, McCutchen, Zimmerman, Pence, Hosmer and F-Her. Picking second in my draft.

Choosing between guys like Hamilton, Crawford, Starlin, Asdrubal, Zobrist, Phillips - leaning shortstop because the drop after Starlin and Ass-Cab is drastic.

Looking for some insight as to why Starlin is being selected around 30 picks before Asdrubal on average. In a head to head league where average is fickle and SAGNOF, does Asdrubal's power and RBI potential (along with his spot in a far superior lineup) make him the clear choice over Castro? I love Starlin as a hitter/real life guy, but just don't see the attraction to him over Asdrubal in my format.

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Re: Starlin vs Asdrubal

Postby Deltron » Fri Mar 09, 2012 1:18 pm

The general thought is Asdrubal has a lower floor and is a bigger risk to flop. 2011 may have been a career year for Asdrubal so you would be buying high so to speak.

Starlin is still so early in his development that you have to assume he can keeping improving his production...which is already pretty darn good.
12-teamer, H2H, points, 4 keepers.
Hitters: +1 single, +2 dbl, +3 trpl, +4 HR, +1 RBI, +1 run, +1 BB/HBP, -1 K, +2 SB, -1 CS
Pitchers: +1.5 IP, +1 K, -1 BB/HBP, +5 W, -3 L, +4 S, -2 BS, +3 CG, +10 shutout
Start one player at each position + utility, 4 SPs, 2 RPs. 8 reserves.

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AdmiralTrey
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Re: Starlin vs Asdrubal

Postby AdmiralTrey » Sat Mar 10, 2012 3:58 pm

Cabrera has less speed potential than Castro by a pretty decent margin.

He's had three seasons with a batting average under .280 while only having one over .300, whereas Castro's hit over .300 in every season so far.

Cabrera's slugging percentage last year was .460 as a 25 year old, whereas Castros' was .432 as a 21 year old.

Out of Cabrera's 25 HR's last year, HitTracker labeled only 2 of them as no doubters, 15 of them as Just Enough, 2 of them as Luck, and the other 6 as Plenty: http://www.hittrackeronline.com/detail. ... ype=hitter

For Castro, only 3 of his 10 HR's were Just Enough, with the other 7 being labeled as Plenty: http://www.hittrackeronline.com/detail. ... ype=hitter

This suggests that Cabrera could have just as easily hit 8 HR's last year... Kind of scary.


I personally think that Castro has more speed, more power potential, and the potential to hit .330+. Cabrera could be a .300 hitter at his best but I don't think he has more than teens SB ability and I really don't think he has more than teens power. Castro could easily hit 15 HR's this season to go along with a significantly higher batting average and more stolen bases.


Castro is in a weak lineup, sure, but Dejesus is a career .284 hitter, Byrd is a career .281 hitter, Stewart is capable of 25+ HR's with full playing time, and Soriano somehow has 50 HR's in the last two seasons... Not amazing, no, but honestly Cleveland's lineup isn't that amazing either. Santana is a legit power hitter, Choo ought to rebound with a 20 HR, .300 BA season, but honestly who do they have past that? Kotchman might hit .300 with 10 HR's or he might hit .270 with 5 HR's. Neither is that good. Kipnis might produce, but he's unproven thus far. Hafner would be lucky to play 100 games. I don't see Cleveland's lineup as being all that much better than Chicago's.

10 Team 6X6 H2H Dynasty Year 5
C - Wilson Ramos
1B - Freddie Freeman
2B - Gleyber Torres
3B - Nolan Arenado
SS - Trea Turner
OF - Mike Trout
OF - Ronald Acuna
OF - Yordan Alvarez
OF - Kris Bryant
UTL - Javier Baez
UTL - Adalberto Mondesi
Bench - Rhys Hoskins, Miguel Sano, Byron Buxton, Jonathan Schoop, Rowdy Tellez

SP - Gerrit Cole, Stephen Strasburg, Blake Snell, Chris Sale, Jose Berrios, Chris Paddack, Mike Soroka, German Marquez
RP - Ken Giles, Dellin Betances, Taylor Rogers, Geovanny Gallegos, Colin Poche, Corey Knebel
Pedo NA Purgatory Felipse Vazquez

Prospects:
SP: Grayson Rodriguez, Josiah Gray, Seth Corry, Franklin Perez, Ryan Weathers, Blake Walston
RP: James Karinchak
OF: Luis Robert, Alek Thomas, Jesus Sanchez, Kameron Misner, Bayron Lora
IF: Vidal Brujan, Alexander Mojica, Malcolm Nunez, Greg Jones, Gunnar Henderson
C: Sam Huff, Luis Campusano, William Contreras

Results:
2019 - 4th place. Finished regular season 20 games ahead of 2nd place but fell apart in the playoffs.
2018 - 1st place. Finished regular season 24 games ahead of 2nd place and won in the playoffs.
2017 - 2nd place. Finished regular season 5 games ahead of 2nd place but lost in the playoffs.
2016 - 1st place. Finished regular season 1.5 games behind 1st but won in the playoffs

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Bourne
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Re: Starlin vs Asdrubal

Postby Bourne » Sat Mar 10, 2012 4:21 pm

Grey has Castro as 2 SS and 24 spots higher.
RCL Cracking the Whip: (5x5 ESPN roto)
C: Weiters
1B,3B,CI: Encarnacion, Wright, Alanso
2B,SS,MI: Getz, Kozma, Uggla
5xOF: Kemp, Holliday, Hunter, Soriano, Crisp
1xUtil: Markakis
Bn: Hill, Aybar
DL: Hart
SP: MadBum, Zimmermann, Morrow, Annibal Sanchez, Lynn, Anderson
RP: League, Parnell, Benoit, Hernandez

12 team F&F: (6x6 Yahoo! H2H with OPS and Losses)
C: Cervelli
1B,3B,CI: Gold, Zimmerman, Frazier
2B,SS,MI: Phillips, Ruthledge, Bonifacio
4xOF: Braun, Hamilton, Cruz, Hunter
2xUtil: Chris Davis, Span
SP: Latos, Moore, Zimmermann, Niese, Milone, Griffin, Miller, Cingrani, ~Streamer~
RP: Holland, Janssen, Perkins, Bailey, Valverde
2xNA: Straily, Grandal


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