Medlen

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MStark
Posts: 151
Joined: Mon Mar 07, 2011 7:20 pm

Medlen

Postby MStark » Sat Jan 26, 2013 9:50 am

Started 12 games last year. Went 10-1, with 120Ks, a .91 WHIP and 1.57 ERA over 138 IP.

How do you value that? I mean, did he dominate because hitters haven't learned his stuff? Might he be lit up his second or third time around? Or do yu discount everything by some percentage? Add 30% to his ratio's, subtract 25% from his K-rate? Is there a formula?

I mean, we obviously aren't going to fully credit lst year's line. I'm guessing there'll be at least 20 SP's selected ahead of him.

But...

I've got him in a keeper league ($262 base, his salary is $5 base, increased by $3 for every year I extend him) and I've got to figure out what he's worth.

Does anyone know his injury history? Are his mechanics sound? There's nothing worse than signing a guy for 2 years and then losing him in May to TJ surgery. And I remember watching him break off some stuff last year that had me thinking that to get that kind of crazy-ass movement, he must be mercilessly torquing something .

Anyone got the skinny?
ESPN 12 team, All MLB Auction $260 budget
Draft 3/18/14

C: Brian McCann (kept 1 yr @ $5)
IB: Eric Hosmer (through 2016, $17)
2B: Anthony Rendon ($5)
3B: Manny Machado (through 2016, $14)
SS: Ian Desmond (kept 1 yr @ $8)
MI: Jean Segura (through 2017, $10)
CI: Edwin Encarcion (kept 1 yr @ $27)
OF: Bryce Harper (through 2015, $14)
OF: Nick Castellanos ($7)
OF: Ben Revere ($5)
OF: Curtis Granderson, ($8)
OF: Brett Gardner ($4)
Util: Billy Butler ($13)
P: Stephen Strasburg (kept 1 yr @ $14)
P: Michael Pineda ($4)
P: Danny Salazar (through 2017, $14)
P: Aroldis Chapman (kept 1 yr @ $21)
P: Zack Wheeler (through 2017, $14)
P: Grant Balfour ($13)
P: Nate Jones ($10)
P: Yordono Ventura ($8)
P: Sonny Gray ($14)
B: Miguel Montero ($4)
B: Gregory Polanco ($3)
B: Denard Span ($1)

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Grey
Posts: 37726
Joined: Tue Jun 03, 2008 5:51 pm

Re: Medlen

Postby Grey » Sat Jan 26, 2013 11:46 am

I'd go with him for a year... There's very few pitchers I'd extend longer than that...
Grey Albright
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Mauddib
Posts: 2176
Joined: Thu Dec 27, 2012 9:10 am

Re: Medlen

Postby Mauddib » Sun Jan 27, 2013 8:54 am

I haven't heard anything about his mechanics or possibly future arm problems but those aren't easy to see happening in advance. You just have to go after him and hope that everything is fine. I agree I would probably keep him for this year only. I am always a little reluctant to buy into starters that dominate like he did with out much history to go on. I have seen many starters follow up a strong rookie year with a less than stellar one. Medlan is a popular player right now, going in draft ahead of guys with better track records. If it were me, I would offer him up and see what you could get for him. You might be surprised.

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AdmiralTrey
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Re: Medlen

Postby AdmiralTrey » Mon Jan 28, 2013 4:02 pm

When John Smoltz and Chipper Jones are saying a guy reminds them a lot of Greg Maddux you pretty much have to listen to them. Here's what John Smoltz said about Medlen:
"He's the closest thing I've seen to Greg Maddux, with a few more miles per hour on his fastball," Smoltz said. "If you look at a young Greg Maddux and what he was able to do with that 91 or 92-mph comebacker, it was pretty impressive. I'd say Medlen has a better curveball and Greg had a better changeup, but they're close."
I wouldn't expect a repeat of last season, but yeah, I think it's a pretty good idea to extend him for a year.

10 Team 6X6 H2H Dynasty Year 5
C - Wilson Ramos
1B - Freddie Freeman
2B - Gleyber Torres
3B - Nolan Arenado
SS - Trea Turner
OF - Mike Trout
OF - Ronald Acuna
OF - Yordan Alvarez
OF - Kris Bryant
UTL - Javier Baez
UTL - Adalberto Mondesi
Bench - Rhys Hoskins, Miguel Sano, Byron Buxton, Jonathan Schoop, Rowdy Tellez

SP - Gerrit Cole, Stephen Strasburg, Blake Snell, Chris Sale, Jose Berrios, Chris Paddack, Mike Soroka, German Marquez
RP - Ken Giles, Dellin Betances, Taylor Rogers, Geovanny Gallegos, Colin Poche, Corey Knebel
Pedo NA Purgatory Felipse Vazquez

Prospects:
SP: Grayson Rodriguez, Josiah Gray, Seth Corry, Franklin Perez, Ryan Weathers, Blake Walston
RP: James Karinchak
OF: Luis Robert, Alek Thomas, Jesus Sanchez, Kameron Misner, Bayron Lora
IF: Vidal Brujan, Alexander Mojica, Malcolm Nunez, Greg Jones, Gunnar Henderson
C: Sam Huff, Luis Campusano, William Contreras

Results:
2019 - 4th place. Finished regular season 20 games ahead of 2nd place but fell apart in the playoffs.
2018 - 1st place. Finished regular season 24 games ahead of 2nd place and won in the playoffs.
2017 - 2nd place. Finished regular season 5 games ahead of 2nd place but lost in the playoffs.
2016 - 1st place. Finished regular season 1.5 games behind 1st but won in the playoffs


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