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Punting Average

Posted: Wed Mar 11, 2009 1:22 pm
by adamh
I have done several mock drafts where I found myself lagging a little bit behind in average, and instead of trying to make up for it by sacrificing the other offensive categories, I've just pounded on the offensive stats. It seems like avg. would be the most obvious category to "punt" if it's going to be something. And also, you can find plenty of power and or/speed guys later in the draft. Do you think starting a draft with some sort of Fielder and OF Power/Speed combo (Beltran, Soriano), grabbing a few stud pitchers in Rounds 3-7, and rounding out your offense later on with guys like Delgado, J Upton, Ankiel, R Weeks, and Shoppach is a good plan? I think it gives you very high marks in all your categories minus avg.

Re: Punting Average

Posted: Wed Mar 11, 2009 1:39 pm
by Grey
I completely agree with you. I don't try and punt anything, but I tend to look at average last. Because average fluctuates so much because of luck it's hard to play for it anyway.

Re: Punting Average

Posted: Wed Mar 11, 2009 1:45 pm
by adamh
( I meant Howard instead of Fielder. Anyways...)

Yeah, I agree. I never set out trying to punt but if the best value early on is a couple 260-270 hitters, I think your better off going in that direction. Obviously, if you're lucky enough to start off with Pujols, Cabrera, or even Utley, you're better off not wasting what you just paid for that average. But it does seem to be the easiest category to get away not paying attention to.

If you do land someone like Howard early on, who the hell are the guys that you look for later on to boost your average? And how do you do it when you are likely to wait so long on 2B and C?

Re: Punting Average

Posted: Wed Mar 11, 2009 1:50 pm
by Grey
I don't look to boost the average ever cause then you're looking at guys like Ichiro and Polanco. If you draft Howard, just don't draft Dunn, Krispie or Reynolds or any other low average guys.

Re: Punting Average

Posted: Thu Mar 12, 2009 10:55 am
by nmdunkel
Rather than thinking about punting avg, think about how many +.300 hitters you're drafting EARLY. That will tell you how many low-mid average guys you can invest in. The late round .300 hitters won't help you in anything else. When consciously thinking about this the worst avg I've ever had is .280. And that's still competitive.

Example....let's say you grab Pujols in the first round. You're then set-up perfectly to take Adam Dunn in the 6th-7th (I've gotten him in the 7th in two leagues). Which equals.....about a .290-.300 average. And 70-80 HR. Then you're not forced into taking a pure-power guy (like Howard) in the early rounds when you might not especially want to.

Robbie Cano is a good boost to your average as well, and he's a cheap 2B w/good upside this year.

I disagree with the notion that you can get plenty of power late in the draft. You can't (except Hawpe...seriously undervalued). Don't wait on it. You can get maybe average power hitters (18-25), but so can everyone else. Everybody's team has a bunch of 20 HR guys. So you're not actually helping yourself do anything other than having average power for your league. Power is the hardest to trade for, and the easiest to trade with. Therefore, I see it as a premium. But a lot of this depends on your ability to trade. Peace, bro!